Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.083914 3.410250 3.763103 4.174058 4.640877 5.156221 5.770313
2025-06-29 2.574553 3.004837 3.501821 4.122250 4.881553 5.787630 6.961307
2025-07-06 2.173768 2.633506 3.189557 3.918982 4.861546 6.053587 7.699666
2025-07-13 1.976633 2.470062 3.090355 3.939104 5.088718 6.619054 8.857667
2025-07-20 1.844554 2.367348 3.046922 4.011913 5.375043 7.275947 10.208904
2025-07-27 1.741567 2.288428 3.020727 4.095839 5.673766 7.970866 11.697606
2025-08-03 1.644962 2.206810 2.979256 4.147695 5.923162 8.612056 13.184126
2025-08-10 1.553470 2.122970 2.924624 4.170461 6.124599 9.194458 14.650092
2025-08-17 1.433139 1.987972 2.784051 4.048856 6.085406 9.383995 15.469441
2025-08-24 1.344770 1.892588 2.693369 3.993518 6.141962 9.729713 16.604035
2025-08-31 1.274377 1.818581 2.628453 3.971282 6.247214 10.164241 17.959200
2025-09-07 1.245883 1.805339 2.654585 4.096100 6.610009 11.087661 20.396301
2025-09-14 1.183781 1.737715 2.592868 4.073838 6.720982 11.579295 22.077600
2025-09-21 1.122516 1.667655 2.522503 4.030984 6.790641 12.001828 23.690329
2025-09-28 1.035546 1.551708 2.370257 3.834380 6.558453 11.810920 23.921751
2025-10-05 0.998025 1.513104 2.342589 3.854194 6.733115 12.448358 26.150308
2025-10-12 0.972817 1.492873 2.343851 3.925135 7.011837 13.332586 29.137205
2025-10-19 0.951136 1.477007 2.351085 4.006861 7.319195 14.316915 32.581674
2025-10-26 0.925552 1.452973 2.342342 4.057350 7.567495 15.204150 35.970592
2025-11-02 0.897099 1.422389 2.319963 4.079515 7.758281 15.985752 39.249509
2025-11-09 0.849011 1.355496 2.228962 3.961116 7.637342 16.021930 40.404374
2025-11-16 0.813753 1.309274 2.172692 3.907231 7.651349 16.383099 42.605632
2025-11-23 0.785351 1.273752 2.133950 3.885577 7.734485 16.924968 45.493616